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  • Date: Saturday, November 14th, 2009
  • Time: 1:00 PM
  • TV: ESPN360.com

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Virginia Tech travels north to play Maryland in just their second trip to College Park since joining the ACC in 2004. The Hokies won at Maryland in 2005, and have beaten the Terps twice in Blacksburg. Already having clinched a losing record this year, Maryland will be playing for pride. That makes them a dangerous team.

This is an easy letdown game for the Hokies, particularly with the schedule they have already played. Tech has not played a team with a losing record all season long, until this Saturday when they face the Terps.

Tough Competition
for the Hokies Thus Far
Opp. Record
Alabama 9-0
Marshall 5-4
Nebraska 6-3
Miami 7-2
Duke 5-4
Boston College 6-3
Georgia Tech 9-1
UNC 6-3
East Carolina 5-4
Maryland 2-7


Virginia Tech has gone 6-3 against nine teams who all have winning records. Two of their losses have come to two teams who are a combined 18-1. Hokie fans aren't happy with the results of the season thus far, but you probably won't find anyone in the country who has faced a schedule like Virginia Tech's.

Maryland has just two wins on the season. They narrowly defeated James Madison 38-35 in overtime, and they also upset Clemson 24-21. They have losses at the hands of Cal, Middle Tennessee State, Rutgers, Wake Forest, Virginia, Duke and NC State.

Nevertheless, they are a dangerous team. The Terps have nothing to lose in this game. They can treat it as their bowl game, with a ranked team coming to town.

The Maryland Offense

Ralph Friedgen was known as one of the top offensive coordinators in the country before taking the head coaching position at Maryland. The talent at Maryland has dropped off this year, particularly on the offensive line, and leading rusher Da'Rel Scott was lost for the season in early October.

The Maryland Offense
Category Stat Rank
Rushing 97.78 ypg 107
Passing 221.67 ypg 59
Total 319.44 ypg 99
Scoring 22.67 ppg 92
Pass Efficiency 118.19 90
Sacks Allowed 2.78 per game 103
Average 91.67


Friedgen has a good understanding of the passing game, and the Terp wide receivers are capable of putting up big numbers. However, the lack of a running game is dooming the Maryland offense this season.

The senior signal caller for Maryland is Chris Turner (6-4, 220, r-Sr.). Turner has had a solid career for Maryland, and he's shown an ability to beat top 25 teams. He is 5-2 against ranked opponents during his career as a starter. From a talent standpoint, Turner is solid, but his performance has been up and down this year. He has completed 59.1% of his passes this year for 1,968 yards, with 10 touchdowns and 10 interceptions.

There are good reasons for his struggles. First, Maryland has no running game, so all the pressure is on Turner and the passing game. Second, the offensive line has not been able to protect the quarterback all year. The Terps are 103rd nationally in sacks allowed.

However, the Hokies might not see Turner this week. He sprained his MCL last week against NC State, and might not play against Tech on Saturday. If Turner can't go, Jamarr Robinson (6-0, 190, r-So.) will get the starting nod. Robinson threw his first collegiate passes against NC State, going 5-of-11 for 27 yards. At this point Robinson is more of a runner than a passer.


Despite the loss of Top 10 NFL Draft pick Darrius Heyward-Bey, the Terps have a productive group of wide receivers this year. They are led by Torrey Smith (6-1, 200, r-So.), a Virginia native who attended Stafford High School in Colonial Beach. Smith has 44 catches for 630 yards this year, a 14.3 yards per catch average. His four touchdown receptions lead the team.

Smith is a good all-around receiver who is still only a sophomore. He is poised to have an excellent career in College Park. He is joined at wide receiver by Adrian Cannon (6-2, 204, r-Jr.), a big target at wideout. He hasn't shown great downfield playmaking ability this year, but he is a very reliable player. He has 35 catches for 352 yards and three touchdowns.

Throw in Ronnie Tyler (5-11, 190, r-So.), and the Terps have a very solid trio of wide receivers. Tyler has 23 catches for 286 yards and a touchdown. These Maryland receivers are playing at a higher level than what was expected of them heading into the season.

Da'Rel Scott ran for over 1,100 yards for the Terps last season, but he broke his forearm on October 3. He is returning to practice this week, but he is doubtful for the Tech game. In his place, Maryland starts Davin Meggett (5-8, 215, So.). He has run for 269 yards and four touchdowns this year, but behind a below average offensive line he is only averaging 3.4 yards per carry.

Meggett is the son of former New York Giants running back Dave Meggett. He is a quality runner who is capable of getting the job done, but the Maryland offensive line hasn't been able to block anyone all season long.

The Maryland Offensive Line
Pos. Name Ht. Wt. Yr.
LT Bruce Campbell 6-7 310 Jr.
LG Paul Pinegar 6-4 290 r-Jr.
C Phil Costa 6-3 300 r-Sr.
RG Andrew Gonnella 6-6 305 r-So.
RT R.J. Dill 6-7 320 r-Fr.


This offensive line is still young, particularly on the right side. They have also had some injuries this year that has held them back.

Bruce Campbell is a prototypical left tackle. He has an NFL career in front of him on the offensive line. Center Phil Costa is the most experienced and probably the most consistent performer up front for Maryland. However, the right side of the line is very inexperienced. R.J. Dill is only a r-freshman, and Andrew Gonnella played in just one career game before this season.

The formula for this game is simple. Take advantage of Maryland's offensive line by shutting down the running game and making the Terps one dimensional. When you get them behind the chains and behind on the scoreboard, unleash a variety of zone blitzes that this inexperienced line won't be able to pick up. That's what worked for Bud Foster at East Carolina last week, and we'll probably see the same strategy at Maryland this Saturday.

If Chris Turner can't go, life will be very difficult for Jamarr Robinson. Bud Foster will throw a lot of things at him that he's never seen before. If Robinson has to play, don't expect much out of the Maryland offense.

The Maryland Defense

In 2008, Darren Evans ran for a school record 253 yards against Maryland in a Thursday night game in Lane Stadium. Last year's Maryland defense was very soft up front, and the Terps had to replace many of their starters in the front seven this year. There are a lot of newcomers up front, particularly on the defensive line.

Maryland will play as many as nine players on the defensive line, and five of them are freshmen. Of those freshmen, two are true freshmen. You aren't going to have a good defense with that many young players getting playing time up front.

The Maryland Defensive Line (2-Deep)
Pos. Name Ht. Wt. Yr.
DE Jared Harrell 6-5 265 r-Sr.
DE Derek Drummond 6-4 250 r-So.
NT A.J. Francis 6-5 315 r-Fr.
NT Zachariah Kerr 6-2 330 Fr.
DT Travis Ivey 6-4 325 r-Sr.
DT Joe Vellano 6-2 290 r-Fr.
DT Justin Anderson 6-5 265 Fr.
ANCH Deege Galt 6-4 264 r-Sr.
ANCH Masengo Kabongo 6-1 275 r-Fr.
*Starters in BOLD


Even those defensive linemen who are not freshmen are not particularly impressive. Jared Harrell and Travis Ivey never even lettered until they were juniors. Geege Galt was a member of the practice squad until this year, his fifth season! This is just not a particularly talented group, and the Tech offensive linemen (and Ryan Williams, of course) should be licking their chops.

The players listed on the current two-deep along the defensive line for Maryland simply haven't been productive this season. The nine players in the table above have combined for just nine tackles for loss and seven sacks. They might not be playmakers, but this group does have a lot of size. They are better this year against the run than they were last year, simply because they are a lot bigger on the defensive line.

Maryland does have a playmaking group of linebackers, and that is probably the strength of their defense. Middle linebacker Alex Wujciak (6-3, 255, r-Jr.) leads the team with 103 tackles after finishing last season with 133 tackles. He also has five tackles for loss and a sack. Wujciak is one of the most productive players in the ACC. He has great size for a middle linebacker.

Strongside linebacker Adrian Moten (6-2, 230, r-Jr.) is perhaps the best playmaker on defense for Maryland. He is a good athlete, and he leads the team with 7.5 tackles for loss and five sacks on the season. In fact, the two biggest defensive playmakers on the field on Saturday could be from Gwynn Park High School in Maryland. Moten was a teammate of Virginia Tech cornerback Rashad Carmichael at Gwynn Park.

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Ben Pooler (6-3, 235, r-So.) is having a solid season at the weakside linebacker position. He has 6.5 tackles for loss and three sacks. All three of Maryland's linebackers are capable of making plays. On paper, this looks like the strongest part of the Maryland defense.

Maryland has a lot of experience in the secondary, with three senior starters. Anthony Wiseman (5-10, 185, r-Sr.) is a returning starter at cornerback, but he's never been a playmaker for the Terps. Wiseman has just one career interception. The other cornerback is Cameron Chism (6-0, 185, So.). Chism has potential after playing as a true freshman in 2008. He currently leads Maryland with three interceptions on the season.

Both of Maryland's safeties are experienced seniors. Terrell Skinner (6-3, 214, r-Sr.) was made famous on national television last season when he was run over by Darren Evans. Skinner has no interceptions and just three passes defended this year. His is joined in the deep secondary by strong safety Jamari McCollough (5-11, 200, r-Sr.). McCollough has experience as a cornerback and safety. His four interceptions in 2008 led the team.

McCollough has just one interception on the season, which means Maryland's starting defensive backs have combined for just four picks on the year. (Tech's Rashad Carmichael has five by himself.) Considering the experience in the secondary, the Terps have struggled against the pass in 2009.

The Maryland Defense
Category Stat Rank
Rushing 141.11 ypg 63
Passing 249.44 ypg 100
Total 390.56 ypg 84
Scoring 32.33 ppg 103
Pass Efficiency 142.04 99
TFL 5.22 per game 82
Sacks 2.56 per game 27
Average 79.71


Maryland isn't really good at anything on defense, but they really struggle to defend the pass. Their size in the front seven helps them slow down the run, but Ryan Williams should still be able to find plenty of running room.

Special Teams

We talked about Virginia native Torrey Smith's production at wide receiver earlier in the preview, but perhaps his most impressive contributions have come on kickoff returns. Smith has returned two kicks for touchdowns this season, averaging 26.5 yards per return in the process. The Terps have given up one kickoff return for a touchdown to Clemson's C.J. Spiller, but in general their kickoff coverage is solid.

Maryland hasn't been as good in punt returns, where Tony Logan (5-10, 180, r-So.) is averaging just 7.5 yards per return. Kenny Tate (6-4, 225, So.) has also seen action on six returns, averaging 7.2 yards per return. Starting cornerback Anthony Wiseman has averaged just 3.6 yards per return on seven returns. It seems that whomever Maryland plugs in at punt returner doesn't have much running room.

Nick Ferrara (6-0, 200, Fr.) is a solid placekicker for Maryland, making 14-of-20 attempts with a long of 50 yards. Two of his six misses were the result of blocks, so you could see the Hokies come after some field goals in this game. Ferrara has a strong leg, with six field goals from beyond 40 yards this year. Just a true freshman, Ferrara should be one of the top kickers in the ACC for years to come.

Ferrara has also done some punting this year, averaging 39.7 yards per punt. Right now Travis Baltz (6-2, 210, Jr.) is listed atop the depth chart. He has averaged 40.2 yards per punt on his 26 attempts this season.

Overall, Virginia Tech has the advantage on special teams. The Hokies have dynamic players in the return game, and a more consistent placekicker and punter.

Conclusion

Maryland looks like the worst team in the ACC right now. The Terps have a lot of young players on the field, and many of their older players simply aren't that talented. Ralph Friedgen is a very good football coach, in my opinion, but apparently not much of a recruiter.

Virginia Tech has a talent edge, an experience edge, and they have a lot more to play for than Maryland. Picking the Hokies in this game is a no-brainer. The Terps have struggled all season, and have shown no signs of improvement recently. A couple of things make me hesitant to pick the blowout, however.

First of all, I pick Maryland to finish dead last in the Atlantic Division every year, and every year they do better than I expect. They have lacked talent recently, and only Friedgen's coaching (in my opinion) has kept their heads above water. Even Fridge couldn't do it this year, as Maryland is 2-7. However, the Terps have been excellent against Top 25 teams with Chris Turner at the helm. They know how to get up for big games.

Second, I just haven't seen great spark out of Virginia Tech as a team recently. Sure, the Hokies have their playmakers who are playing well. I'm not knocking the things that Ryan Williams, Rashad Carmichael, Tyrod Taylor and Cody Grimm are doing. But I just haven't seen the Hokies look like a complete team since their wins over Miami and Boston College.

The Hokies looked like a typical Virginia Tech defense in those games. Three or more players would arrive at the football at the same time, and in an angry mood. Things have been different since. Even in the ECU game, I saw a lot of solo tackles. Tech's numbers were good against the Pirates, but I just didn't see that swarm of three or four defenders blowing the play up.

Offensively, the Hokies rolled through Miami, Duke and Boston College like a well-oiled machine. It seemed like Tech had taken what happened against Nebraska and used it as a motivational tool. Then they traveled to Georgia Tech, and things started to come apart. Since then, the Hokies have struggled to score on the plus side of the field.

The Tech offense isn't taking advantage of opportunities. They are averaging just 18.67 points per game over the last three games. Things have been even worse in the first half, where the Hokies have averaged just 5.33 points. If Tech does that against Maryland, and they allow the Terps to stay in the game in the fourth quarter, you never know what could happen on the road.

I want the Hokies to come out firing on all cylinders in this game. Maryland has been pretty bad all year, and there's no excuse for Tech not to go up to College Park and take care of business with a comfortable win.

I've been sticking with trends for my picks all season. Right now, the trend says the Hokies might not play particularly well on Saturday. They haven't played a complete game of football in the last month (October 10 against Boston College). However, I'll reverse course this week and pick Tech to play a good, complete game against the Terps. There's no real reasoning behind that pick. But I've used reasoning all year in my picks, and it didn't work. It's time to try something different.

Chris' Prediction: Virginia Tech 34, Maryland 7


Will Stewart's Take:
It's been a long, hard fall for the Terps from ACC Champions to the mantle of Worst Team in the ACC. The Terps won the league title outright in 2001, breaking a streak of nine straight seasons in which the Florida State Seminoles won or shared the title. Eight years later, Maryland is on the fast track to last place, one of just two teams with a single ACC win, and the only team with just two wins overall.

Ralph Friedgen can coach, but he apparently can't run a program. As Maryland fans have discovered, there's a difference.

The Hokies are going up against a two-win team, Tech is all but eliminated from the ACC Championship picture, the game is being "broadcast" (I would actually use the term "narrowcast") on ESPN360.com, and all the hoopla this week has been about Maryland's uniforms and Virginia Tech's uniforms, not about the game itself.

Did I leave anything out? This game defines the term "under the radar." What a setup. The Hokies still need to be careful, and they still need to put forth a strong effort, or they could get burned. On paper, this is a complete mismatch, but the Hokies can't mail it in.

Fortunately, football players and coaches love the game, and that's what keeps them going when it seems the game doesn't matter. I'm not inside the Hokies' heads, so I'm not sure how fired up they'll be, but if they keep it relatively mistake-free and play with some emotion, this game shouldn't be a problem. It could even wind up being fun.

For purposes of my prediction, I'm going to assume that Chris Turner isn't going to play or won't be effective, and that the Terps will therefore struggle greatly to score. The Hokies will probably get some short fields and some turnovers, then just grind it out on the Terps in the second half.

Will's Prediction: Virginia Tech 37, Maryland 3


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