Bad news for Romney in 3 main battleground states....

[BeachedHokie]

Obama has opened up a lead larger than the margin of error in Florida (+6), Ohio (+6), and PA (+11).

President Barack Obama has a majority of voters backing him in three critical battleground states, according to a survey released Wednesday.

The Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll showed Obama leading his Republican challenger Mitt Romney in Florida 51%-45%, in Ohio 50%-44%, and in Pennsylvania 53%-42%. Florida and Ohio are considered toss-ups in November's general election, while Pennsylvania is rated "lean Obama" on CNN's Electoral Map.

– Follow the Ticker on Twitter: @PoliticalTicker

The poll indicated that only 4% of likely voters in each of the three states had yet to decide on a candidate to support. Among Romney backers, 10% in Florida and Ohio and 9% in Pennsylvania said they could change their mind before November. Eleven percent of Obama's supporters in Florida said they could change their minds, compared to 13% in Ohio and 15% in Pennsylvania.

"If today were November 6, President Barack Obama would sweep the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and – if history is any guide – into a second term in the Oval Office," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, wrote in a statement accompanying the poll's release.

Brown cited better-than-average unemployment rates in Ohio and Florida as possible factors in Obama's lead there, writing that "The president is running better in the key swing states than he is nationally."

Among self-identified independents, Obama edges Romney in Florida 47%-46%, and Ohio 47%-44%. The president's lead among independents in Pennsylvania is more robust, 58%-36%.

A gender gap persists in all three states, where women are more likely to back Obama and men go stronger for Romney.

In all three battlegrounds, an enthusiasm gap persists between the two candidates. Sixty five percent of Obama supporters in Florida say they strongly favor the president, compared to 49% of Romney's backers who say they strongly favor the Republican candidate.

In Ohio, 60% were "strongly supporting" Obama, compared to 42% who said the same for Romney. And in Pennsylvania, 59% were strong supporters of Obama and 41% were strongly supporting Romney.

On the economy, voters are split between Obama and Romney. Forty seven percent of Floridians said Romney would do a better job handing economic issues, compared to 45% who named Obama.

In Ohio, 46% of voters said Obama would better handle to economy, and 45% picked Romney. Pennsylvanians gave Obama higher marks on the economy, with 48% naming the president as better on the economy and 44% naming Romney.

"All this matters because half of all likely voters say the economy is the most important issue to their vote, far ahead of any other issue. The saving grace for Gov. Mitt Romney is that he roughly breaks even with the president on who is best on the economy," Brown said.

The Quinnipiac University/CBS News/New York Times poll was conducted by telephone July 24-30. In Florida, 1,177 likely voters were polled and the sampling error was plus or minus 2.9 percentage points. In Ohio, 1,193 likely voters were called with a sampling error of 2.8 percentage points. And in Pennsylvania, 1,168 likely voters were polled with a sampling error of 2.9 percentage points.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com...nia/?hpt=hp_t2

[ReciprocalHokie]

And the way Romney is perceived by everyone *EXCEPT* stupid, selfish, doughy old white American men also bodes poorly for the dude.

He's worse than Palin for Christ's sake!

[oaktonhokie]

I know YOU'RE not selfish, which legal tax deductions to you decline to take?

[cwtcr hokie]

the selfish doughy ones that give very large checks to charity organizations, those? I am sure you have sent large six figure checks to charity organizations every day tho

hahahahahahahah

And the way Romney is perceived by everyone *EXCEPT* stupid, selfish, doughy old white American men also bodes poorly for the dude.

He's worse than Palin for Christ's sake!

[ReciprocalHokie]

And they will soon die of crusty old age Hahahahahahahah!!!!

Republicans' days are numbered.

[BigDave]

Obama has opened up a lead larger than the margin of error in Florida (+6), Ohio (+6), and PA (+11).



http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com...nia/?hpt=hp_t2

This is not a serious poll. They oversample Democrats in Florida by NINE POINTS. Their breakdown for Florida is 36% Democrat, 27% Republican, 32% independent, and 4% other.

For Ohio, it is 35-27-32 and for Pennsylvania, oddly, it's the closest of the three - 38-32-26.

There's just no frickin' way that Democrats outnumber Republicans by such a large percentage this year.

By the way, Florida gives their actual registration percentages (keep in mind, these are the numbers of REGISTERED voters, not likely voters, whereas the above poll is likely voters, so the poll should be slightly more Republican than the registration numbers). The actual registration percentages in Florida are 40% Democrat, 36% Republican, 3% minor party, and 21% independent.

But in this poll, they gave their registration as 42-36 Democrat (2% more than we know it is in real life) and their voting preference as 36-27 Democrat.

This is not a serious poll. This is a game that the liberal polls play - they oversample Democrat voters in a year when the electorate is nearly even split or maybe slightly more Republican. (Gallup says it is 30-28 Democrat and if you include "leaners", it is 47-45 Republican. And yes, that's national, but Florida is slightly more conservative than the country as a whole. Obama only won Florida by 2%, while he won nationally by much more.)

I'm sure you will all say I'm "deflecting" or whatever psychobabbly nonsense you come up with to delegitimize any criticism, but it is what it is. These polls that wildly oversample Democrats are not serious efforts at reporting news - they are efforts at making news.

[fathersonhokie]

And the way Romney is perceived by everyone *EXCEPT* stupid, selfish, doughy old white American men also bodes poorly for the dude.

He's worse than Palin for Christ's sake!

Self loathing I detect, young padawan.

[UpstateSCHokie]

Thank you. Good post & spot on. But as you said, these LWNJ's are not interested in reality. They just want to trumpet their phony poll results.

This is not a serious poll. They oversample Democrats in Florida by NINE POINTS. Their breakdown for Florida is 36% Democrat, 27% Republican, 32% independent, and 4% other.

For Ohio, it is 35-27-32 and for Pennsylvania, oddly, it's the closest of the three - 38-32-26.

There's just no frickin' way that Democrats outnumber Republicans by such a large percentage this year.

By the way, Florida gives their actual registration percentages (keep in mind, these are the numbers of REGISTERED voters, not likely voters, whereas the above poll is likely voters, so the poll should be slightly more Republican than the registration numbers). The actual registration percentages in Florida are 40% Democrat, 36% Republican, 3% minor party, and 21% independent.

But in this poll, they gave their registration as 42-36 Democrat (2% more than we know it is in real life) and their voting preference as 36-27 Democrat.

This is not a serious poll. This is a game that the liberal polls play - they oversample Democrat voters in a year when the electorate is nearly even split or maybe slightly more Republican. (Gallup says it is 30-28 Democrat and if you include "leaners", it is 47-45 Republican. And yes, that's national, but Florida is slightly more conservative than the country as a whole. Obama only won Florida by 2%, while he won nationally by much more.)

I'm sure you will all say I'm "deflecting" or whatever psychobabbly nonsense you come up with to delegitimize any criticism, but it is what it is. These polls that wildly oversample Democrats are not serious efforts at reporting news - they are efforts at making news.

[oaktonhokie]

Research is rarely done to learn something, it's done to "prove" something.

See gore ball-warming...

[cwtcr hokie]

you think all republicans are old, wow, you are not smart

And they will soon die of crusty old age Hahahahahahahah!!!!

Republicans' days are numbered.