Tomorrow's game is huge for them. A loss tomorrow puts them at 7-6 heading into 2 games against FSU & UNC. 2 losses to VT would mean that one of those 2 is a must win.
With their resume, I just can't see them getting in with a 21-9 (8-8) record. Their best wins are Drexel & NCSU. They need 2 wins out of the last 4.
I think you are overlooking a good number of wins. Drexel is their 6th best win by RPI.
UVa has wins against #13 Mich, #45 Mia, @ #57 Oregon, @ #60 NCSU, @ #62 LSU, N - #73 Drexel
That right there is 6 wins against the top 75. and they still also have top 100 wins over MD and Mason.
I agree that at 8-8 that could be tough to get in, but if they were to lose to VT and then win against FSU and @ MD, I think they still get in at 9-7. That would be 3 top 50 wins and 10 top 100 wins. with an RPI most likely in the upper 30's
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